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Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Terrible Tuesday and the CPA exam

I am taking part of the exam today, thus making it a terrible Tuesday.
I am currently studying for and trying to finish the CPA Exam, and it is tough. Long hours spent in isolation going over and over concepts and topics that might be tested. One of my old college professors told me once that is a time exercise, how much you put in is what you will get out. I find that to be true about most things in life. You put in the effort and you reap the reward. Hopefully, I can reap some of those today. In the same light how can you expect to reap benefits of something you didn't even sow.  Which brings us to....


Terrible Tuesday time again and this week...it's none other than Chad 85


Ok, here's the long and short of it. Chad has had a big off season, but not in the way you might think. He spent a lot of time on less than football related stuff. That being said.... The Bengals are a run first team, Carson Palmer is not the best QB in the world,and did they not pick up some receivers? Oh yeah, Terrell Owens, and a TE named Gresham who might as well be a WR. So let's recap...do i think 85 will catch passes? Yes. Will he score a touchdown? Yes. Will he be the best wide out on the team? Maybe yes. Will he end the season worth what you paid for him (which would be a third round pick)? NO way. I would rather have Steve Smith (Giants), Wes Welker, or Crabtree, all guys who are going around him, over Ochocinco. Again I'm not saying he won't have value. I just think there are better guys at WR in the 4th round. 

Monday, August 30, 2010

Draft of the week

Well it's Monday again folks, and the season is right around the corner. The fantasy world is buzzing as we enter the last few weeks before the start of the season. So what better to get your week started with than a little pick-up....
Monday Pickup Draft...

Jermichael Finley.
Why is he draft of the week? Well let's see... currently Finley is going 7th amoung tight ends and 64th overall. I think that is possibly 2 rounds too low. I've been way up on this guy this year. Last year he proved to be decent but remember he did not start until about mid-season, and it's hard to get involved in the offense that late in the year. Personally I think Finley could have a year much like what Vernon Davis had last year. In the last 2 preseason games he has caught 10 passes for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns. I'm telling you I like this guy to be easy top five, maybe top three, by year end, and to catch 90 balls for about 1,000 yards (I won't predict touchdowns.)

Friday, August 27, 2010

Running Backs by value...

Ok it's time for the 2nd "value" edition of the blog.. Again, remember these are in no way the top 3 running backs, these guys are the running backs I think will give you the most points for where they are going in the draft.

WHO-DAT value?
Pierre Thomas

Led the Saints in offensive touches, in 2009? Best offiense in football? Do I need to say something else. Currently going 36th overall.
I think this guy has good upside and potential this year, especially with Mike Bell gone. With that said, I would say Thomas has 3 weeks this year with 15+ fantasy points. Also I think he has at least 2 weeks with 5 or less. All in all I think he can be a solid #2. Just don't come crying to me the week he scores 3 fantasy points. Remember he is on one of my teams as well, so we can suffer together.


Arian Foster (see Monday Pickup below)

Currently going 76th  in ESPN standard 10 team leagues. I mean, a starting back in the 7th round, that's good value, I can eat on that all week.








Shocker alert....
Ahman Bradshaw
Yeah that's the "other" running back for the Giants. Ok here is the deal. One, last year the Giants' defense was bad, and they had to throw the ball all the time to have a chance to win a game. This year I see the Giants getting the defense back on track, and balancing the offense a bit more (that's why I think Manning #2 Eli is not someone you want on your team this year). From word out of Giants camp they seem to like Bradshaw more the Brandon Jacobs. All these reasons above are why Bradshaw is in the "value" aisle. Currently going about the 105th pick... just get him, sit on him, and in a few weeks you will have a starting HB. That's my thought anyway.

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Arizona... you've got a Terrible Tuesday

I remember when I was a kid some of my favorite toys were small 1/64 scale Nascars. Usually on Sunday afternoon I would line these toys up in the floor and perform my own mini Nascar race, which usually ended in a favorable outcome for Mark Martin, my favorite driver at the time. Over the course of a few years, things changed, I became more interested in wrestling figures, Transformers, and the like. Currently I have no idea where my Nascar toys are, or do I have any interest in racing or the drivers. As I look back I think its funny to see how important things were to us at one point, but due to changing times and circumstances are no longer that important. For instance:

  1. Pagers
  2. Home Phones 
  3. Baseball Cards
  4. Myspace
I could go on and on. In the fantasy football world there are several players that fit this mold as well, think LaDainian Tomlinson or Matt Forte. At least for this year you can add this guy to the list...

This weeks Terrible Tuesday pick is.... Larry Fitzgerald.












Why you ask?

This guy is why. Enter Matt Leinart. (I Despise USC by the way) He played there so that info was relevant.















With Kurt Warner (former Arizona QB) at home eating cheese puffs on Sundays this season. A new era for the Cardinals is upon the fantasy world. That era is one where Fitzgerald may not be the consistent, no brainer every week start, guaranteed double digit points, he once was. Let's time travel to 2009 week 12, and throw out some numbers..... 4 for 34.... what's that you say? Fitz's catch totals and yards with Leinart at QB for the entire game. In short is Fitz worth having in fantasy football? Yes of course, but I would let someone else have him. He is going as the 4th wide receiver in fantasy currently. There is no way in an offense with a "new" QB he can have that kind of year. Let someone else take him too high....

Monday, August 23, 2010

Pickup of the Week College Style

Fall is just around the corner, and not soon enough. This has been a long, hot and miserable summer. With the soon arrival of fall comes mine and probably most of your favorite time of year. No kids not Thanksgiving or Halloween, football season. Since Julie and I live just an hour from Knoxville, our last few falls have consisted of several trips to see the Tennessee Volunteers play football. Any one who knows me knows that I live and die on Saturdays by the Texas Longhorns, but it is still fun to drive to Knoxville and root for my number 2 team if you will. Game day Saturdays usually involve riding to Knoxville with my father in-law, because he is nice enough to let us use 2 of the seats he has, visiting the campus bookstore, watching the crowds, and finding something good to eat. Overall the experience of a game day Saturday in Knoxville is wonderful, even though the Vols might not be your favorite team. So what does any of that have to do with the Monday Pickup???? Nothing really, apart from UT being the alma-mater for today’s guy, Arian Foster.



Monday Pickup – Arian Foster

Why you say? Well, let’s take a look shall we.

Foster is currently going 77th in the draft for ESPN standard leagues, and 32 among running backs. Currently he is 1st on the depth chart for the Texans. Last year in the 4 times he took the field for the Texans, he rushed 54 times for 257 yards and 2 touchdowns totalling 47 fantasy points. Steve Slation is the only threat to his playing time as I see it. I think this guy is an easy every week flex play who just might make his way into your starting line up. The Texans love to score, and with Andre Johnson on the field the defense will be all over him, leaving a little less for Foster.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Farve?

Well, well Iron Brett is back and frankly I couldn't care less. I'm just totally over all the I'm in I'm out, I'm retiring I'm not stuff. Brett just play or don't, I could care less. That being said, over the next few weeks I am going to try to bring you some fantasy insight concerning players and value. I am going to list the players at each position that I think will have the most "Value". To truly do this right you need to know that Value is. Value in terms of fantasy football would mean the most fantasy points, for the lowest draft position. So If I told you the best quarterback in terms of value was Tony Romo, I'm not saying he will be the best fantasy QB. I am simply saying he will provide the most points for where he is going in the draft.

That said....

Top 3Quarterbacks by value.

Tony Romo: According to ESPN standard leagues he is currently going 37th overall (3rd round) and 7th among QB's. I am real high on the cowboys offense this year and I think that Romo could be the number 1 fantasy QB by the end of the year. With Romo you could get 1st round production in the 3rd round that's why he is the number 1 value.



Joe Flacco: Flacco currently drafted 52 in ESPN standard leagues 8th in QB's. I think this guy could emerge as a top tier guy by the end of the year. So if you miss on Brees, Rodgers, Manning,Brady or Romo I think he is your guy. Last Year Flacco had 3,600 passing yards, 21 TD's, and a 63% completion rate. Not bad for a 5th round QB with a ton of upside.





Sorry I could not resist the old Farve photo and the SI Caption.


Iron Farve: Currently going in the 8th round 86th overall 11 among QB'S. I think that Farve could have a good year again this year. I don't think he will get to 4,000 yards or 30+ touchdowns, but with an injury free average year this guy is tremendous value in the 8th round. I will tell you there is not much upside here, but if you wait on a QB and Farve is still around don't be afraid of him.

.

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Terrible Tuesday

I really do not like crowds, (statement of fact). We went to a local mall a few weeks ago to look for some clothes for our expected child. Like he really needs more clothes, but anyway. To say the least it was tax free weekend and I can honestly say that there is no way that place could have been more crowded if it were day after thanksgiving. There were no parking spots, people parked in the grass on sides of hills, it was nasty. Having so many people in such a small place makes it hard to accomplish anything, and makes it very frustrating for everyone.

Just like a crowd in a mall all the "running back by committee" situations around the NFL are a nightmare for fantasy owners. There are two teams the Panthers and the Dolphins each of which will have 2 backs that will both have good fantasy value, beyond that who knows. To coin the old phrase 3 is a crowd, and 4 is even  worse. Which brings us to Terrible Tuesday.

ANY PATRIOTS RUNNING BACK

Kevin Faulk, Maroney, BenJaruivs Green-Ellis, or Sammy Morris.

When it comes to football the mind of Pat's head coach Bill Belichick is a steel trap, but when it comes down to which running back to start it must be full of cob webs, spiders, and old clothes. I can't see any reason at this point why I would own any of these guys ( not because they won't have some sort or value, its because no one knows which one will have value). At some point in the season one of them might emerge as the clear number one, but until then please let someone else in your league worry about whether to sit or start one of these guys in the crowd. You have been warned.

              
  In the first preseason game alone 3 out of 4 of these guys got touches. Maroney got 2 goal line        
  vulture scores. BenJaruivs Green-Ellis (all one guy) got 11 touches and a score. Whew, welcome to a running back crowd. I hate crowds this is one you can't be in.