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Friday, October 8, 2010

Week Five Sit / Start

Just a note: This week tons of people have been on and off injury reports. Andre Johnson, Ray Rice, Hillis, Moreno, Bradshaw, and on and on. Just make sure you start a guy that is going to play. Sounds simple, I know. The following will be based on the fact that the the guys I mention are playing.

Week 5, here we come...
Bye: Miami, New England, Pittsburgh, Seattle

Jacksonville at Buffalo 1:00 PM CBS
With what the Jags did last week you have to like their chances against the Terrible Bills. I think that all of your Jags will be decent here. If Mike Sims-Walker is going to be fantasy relevant at any point in time this year it will be this game. The Jags defense is not that great, so I could see Fred Jackson playing well now that the Bills backfield has cleared out.  I still don't trust their passing game even though Ryan Fitz has been good since he took over, and could have a good game against that giving Jags Defense. 14,21,32,20 thats the points they have given up thus far to QB's

Tampa Bay at Cincinnati 1:00 PM FOX
I think from here on out you gotta start T.O. I have been down on him all year, but the time has come for me to come to the light. With Shipley out I like Ochocinco a little more, but still no more than a flex play. Benson and Palmer should be decent. The Tampa defense is better than you think. As far as Tampa, word is Cadillac and LeGarrette Blount will be splitting carries... I want no part of that mess. I can't think of any Buc you could start, maybe Winslow as the Bengals seem to struggle the most with the TE's on defense.


Atlanta at Cleveland 1:00 PM FOX
I like pretty much all of Atlanta's offensive players here, after what the Bengals did to them last week. Roddy White could be huge if he can come close to what T.O. did last week. Turner and Snelling will both be good plays this week. As for the Browns, you gotta start Hills, Gore and Mendenhall, both hit easy double digits against the Falcons defense in prior weeks. No way you start any other Brown.


St. Louis at Detroit 1:00 PM FOX
How exciting is this game, right? Best of the Worst? I actually think as bad as both these defenses are I really like Shaun Hill and Sam Bradford (oh sorry just threw up a little). Other than that you should start the normal guys. Looks like Steven Jackson will suit up and against Detroit that's all you need him to. I'm totally not buying Darby. Clayton, and Jackson for the Rams are must starts, Amendola if you need a flex. Jahvid Best and Calvin Johnson on the other side.

Kansas City at Indianapolis 1:00 PM CBS
You never start any one in Kansas City passing attack ever... that said I really like both Thomas Jones and Jaamal Charles in this match up. Colts Defense = Bad against the run.  You start all your Colts here, however I don't expect last week's results... there is a reason Kansas City is undefeated. KC defense is better than you think.

Green Bay at Washington 1:00 PM FOX
Portis is out 4-6 weeks and I fully think that Ryan Torain will be the starter for the rest of the season.  I also think he's a great start this week. I think that Cooley could have a good game here. Outside of those two guys, I think you stay away from the Skins passing game. Really just the opposite for Green Bay, they are going to throw it all over the place. Clearly Kuhn is the Packers RB you want to me he is a Flex at best.

Chicago at Carolina 1:00 PM FOX
The Bears confirmed late yesterday that Cutler would be "OUT" this week. I think this really limits the value of all Bears players. Based on your teams Forte and Johnny Knox may be locked into your lineups, but I don't really care for them this week. Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs actually ran well against the Bears last week. That said, I like Williams and *gasp* fantasy zombie Jonathan Stewart to do the same this week. Here is the logic on that. Carolina Steve Smith out, Rookie QB playing on an already bad offense, the Bears offense will be equally as bad this week, Panthers run a ton? Makes sense to me.

Denver at Baltimore 1:00 PM CBS
The Ravens pass defense is tough, and Denver loves to throw. I think that if you've got someone better than Ortin you play them here. Eddie Royal could catch a few balls in the slot, other than that I'm down on the Broncos passing this week only. Baltimore gave up tons of rushing yards to Hillis and Mendenhall so if Moreno plays he will be just fine. So far this year the Broncos have allowed the 3rd and 4th most points to QBs and WRs respectively. Given that, I think you have to give Flacco the start. Bolden is an automatic start, and Derrick Mason is interesting here. I'm way down on Ray Rice this week, um did you see what this defense did to Chris Johnson last week? 19 carries 53 yards plus who knows how healthy Rice even is?

NY Giants at Houston 1:00 PM FOX
The Gaints defense has been good against the pass this year, at the same time they haven't played a team like the Texans either. I think you start all your normal Texans here... Shaub, Andre Johnson (if he plays), Foster, and Kevin Walter. As for New York, I like lots of guys here as the Texans defense has not been that good this year. I think that Bradshaw (if he plays) (dang I'm tried of saying that), Manning, Steve Smith, , and Nicks all will be just fine. I see the Giants being down and needing to throw here. I rank that Giants WRs Nicks -Smith -Manningham.

New Orleans at Arizona 4:05 PM FOX
If Pierre Thomas goes then you start him, if not don't start a Saints RB, it's a mess down there at RB. Brees, Lance Moore, and Colston should have good days against the Cards defense. The Saints Defensive backfield has thinned a bit with injury, so Fitz could be decent......... but wait, Max Hall is "now" the starting QB. If you have Fitz you "have to" start him, but who knows how he will do. Side note on Fitz, no other WR has a larger margin between targets and receptions. Do you think that is because he can't catch? Nope. The difference is between throwing it to someone and "near" someone. Wells and Hightower could benefit here, with the Cards wanting to get the young QB eased into the action.

San Diego at Oakland 4:15 PM CBS
You are for sure starting all your Chargers this week, Gates, Rivers, Matthews, Floyd, except Tolbert. Ryan Matthews has taken back over the starting spot.  With Bush and Mcfadden both banged up the only Raider I'm starting is Zach Miller.

Tennessee at Dallas 4:15 PM CBS
The Titans defense is tough, I think you start Austin, Romo, and Witten. I don't buy Roy Williams. I am not all in on Dez Bryant yet, and the Cowboys say they want to get Felix Jones the ball more... they say that every year. For the Titans I think that Nate Washington will be a good play here. The Cowboys defense has allowed some monster passing games. No way I would tell you to start Vince, but because of the matchup he could be decent. At the same time if they are down and he needs to throw a lot he could have like 3 picks? I think Chris Johnson has 90+ yards and a TD here and about 20 carries?

Philadelphia at San Francisco 8:20 PM NBC
The Eagles without Vick, and  LeSean Mcoy likely out. I think Desean Jackson will be alright but not great. Kolb being under center helps Celek. I don't know that I trust any Eagle this week. As far a San Fran goes, it's just like normal. You start Gore and Vernon Davis and run away from thoughts of starting anyone else. Here is a stat for you. No (that means not any) 49ers wide receiver has gotten more than 7 points in a game... RUN

MONDAY NIGHT  Game of the Week!
Can the Jets keep up AFC Domination? Can Minnesota get back to winning? Who does Randy Moss  Brett Favre (Old Grey Beard) play for?


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Minnesota at NY Jets 8:30 PM
Well here comes Moss and the Vikings.  First off I don't know that I am as thrilled about Moss and the Vikes as everyone else. I think he will easily be the number one target in let's say 2 weeks, but not this week. If you've got him I think you start him. I don't know that I feel good about it. Aside from the Moss stuff you start Peterson, maybe Percy Harvin, I don't feel great about that one either. For the Jets, LT, Braylon Edwards, Dustin Keller (best TE in football?). Santonio Holmes is back this week, but I don't look for he and Sanchez to have an immediate connection. Speaking of Sanchez I think he has another good week. *Not mentioned in the above "Old Grey Beard". Do not start, anyone in this game who has almost been retired. 

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